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Ciclos económicos reales en Paraguay
(BCP, 2010-10-01)
A BVAR model for forecasting Paraguay’s inflation rate in turbulent macroeconomic enviroments
(BCP, 2011-01-01)
In this research I explore the methodology of Bayesian autoregressive methods to forecast inflation and other macroeconomic time series of interest. I estimate a Bayesian vector of autoregressive model to forecast inflation, ...
Tasa natural de desempleo en Paraguay
(BCP, 2010-01-01)
Impacto Generado en la Economía Paraguaya, por la Inclusión de las Transacciones de las Entidades Binacionales Itaipú y Yacyretá en las Cuentas Nacionales y en la Balanza de Pagos
(2016-04-01)
Since 2012, the 50% of binational entities Itaipú and Yacyretá are considered as residential units of the Paraguayan economy in the National Accounts and the Balance of Payments; producing in consequence several effects ...
Business cycle implications of rising household credit market participation in emerging countries
(BCP, 2019-12-01)
A small open emerging-economy model is extended with a household sector financial constraint to investigate business cycle implications of a rise in household access and use of financial services. Estimating the model on ...
Foreign shocks and aggregate price fluctuations in a small commodity exporter economy
(2018-07-07)
This paper examines the role of foreign shocks on aggregate prices in the small net commodity exporter economy of Paraguay. I apply a bayesian methodology for variable choice in VARS and and find that foreign variables ...
Comparing exchange rate forecastability: the Paraguay case
(BCP, 2019-07-01)
Forecasting exchange rates is a very difficult task. Since Meese and Rogoff’s (1983) results showed that no model could outperform a driftless random walk in predicting exchange rates, there have been many papers which ...
La tasa de interés neutral en Paraguay
(BCP, 2012-11-01)
Costos de la información en el sistema bancario paraguayo
(BCP, 2012-09-01)