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A BVAR model for forecasting Paraguay’s inflation rate in turbulent macroeconomic enviroments
(BCP, 2011-01-01)
In this research I explore the methodology of Bayesian autoregressive methods to forecast inflation and other macroeconomic time series of interest. I estimate a Bayesian vector of autoregressive model to forecast inflation, ...
Forecasting inflation with ANN models
(BCP, 2010-12-01)
In this research I investigate the alternative methodology of training artificial neural networks models with the early stopping procedure and I analyze their outcomes in terms of accuracy when forecasting monthly Paraguayan ...